It would be interesting to get our own prediction market going, if only to see who's right.

Me, I'm not too sure. Crypto is basically a dollar divestment. There is still good reason to do that seeing as we still haven't gotten the full sum of due inflation from all the money we printed during covid. But commodities are a pretty good dollar divestment right now. They even exist in crypto form. I could see the market being happy to chill at low BTC for a while. You can't have BTC peaks without long periods of the market just chilling. And I think it's chill price could even lower than it is now. And a chill period could be pretty long.