Hannity is spread fake news about the Virginia and New Jersey elections

Hannity is spread fake news about the Virginia and New Jersey elections(self)

He just did a segment on how the races are really close and momentum would suggest the democrats are in for a shock. The reality sanity checked by polymarket is that these races are locked in Democrat victories. About as locked in as polymarket will ever say for any election.

And it doesn't look like new data, that Hannity says should be a bombshell wakeup call to Democrats, has budged these futures estimates at all. Some of these markets have actually gotten even stronger in favoring the democrat candidate. The only market in real agreement with what Hannity and his guests said is one that now suggests the New Jersey candidate has a decent chance of winning with a less that 3% margin rather than a higher number. But her odds of winning are basically unimpaired. Also the Virginia General Attorney seat has some chance of flipping. That one isn't fully locked in even though it favors the Democrat significantly. Also the NJ mayoral election is a toss up, but strangely he didn't talk about that one much.

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