I feel like the pro-Israel media has learned to just stop covering Israel because we don't hear about an active war in Lebanon very often.
On other future analysis we are thankfully not likely to have a military action in Venezuela this year. Part of that is owing to us running at the year (almost there). But at one point we thought it was pretty likely. On October 10th we thought it would be 72% likely we'd have a direct military conflict by the end of the year. So good on us for at least delaying it to 2026 or hopefully never.
In fact we are down to only 50% odds of it happening by March 31st. If there is a best time to have a war it's later. Because if later happens often enough you have it never. And that's a good thing.
Also, hold your breath on Marijuana being rescheduled any time soon.
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I feel like the pro-Israel media has learned to just stop covering Israel because we don't hear about an active war in Lebanon very often.
On other future analysis we are thankfully not likely to have a military action in Venezuela this year. Part of that is owing to us running at the year (almost there). But at one point we thought it was pretty likely. On October 10th we thought it would be 72% likely we'd have a direct military conflict by the end of the year. So good on us for at least delaying it to 2026 or hopefully never.
In fact we are down to only 50% odds of it happening by March 31st. If there is a best time to have a war it's later. Because if later happens often enough you have it never. And that's a good thing.
Also, hold your breath on Marijuana being rescheduled any time soon.